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Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s lead over President Trump in the national popular vote has shrunk to just three points, according to the two most recent polls released by major polling firms.
The Hill-HarrisX poll released on Wednesday gave Biden a 43 percent to 40 percent lead in the national popular vote, while the Rasmussen Reports poll released on the same day gave Biden a 48 percent to 45 percent lead.
The Hill HarrisX poll, “was conducted online within the United States from August 2-5, 2020 among 2,850 registered voters by HarrisX. The sampling margin of error of this poll is plus or minus 1.84 percentage points.”
The Rasmussen Reports poll “of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted July 29-30 and August 2-4, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.”
Hillary Clinton won the popular vote in 2016, but lost the presidency since the Constitution specifies the president is elected by a majority of electoral college votes.
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@cinyc9 Then use the combined error. Biden's lead is still 1.5 points out side of the average error over polls for… https://t.co/vJnxLRb1tu
New Yahoo News-YouGov Poll: Biden’s lead over Trump shrinks to 6 points after the RNC — his small...… https://t.co/Jg8vg3aPEE
Ugh. Just read a poll. Biden is up on Trump by 9 points. But if you add the vanity 3rd Party losers, his lead shrin… https://t.co/CpUjd0mDYe