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Focused Russian attack on Ukraine seen as more likely than full-scale invasion

Added 01-26-22 09:09:02am EST - “Officials and experts say several elements missing for full-scale invasion despite recent troop movements” - Theguardian.com

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Posted By TheNewsCommenter: From Theguardian.com: “Focused Russian attack on Ukraine seen as more likely than full-scale invasion”. Below is an excerpt from the article.

Officials and experts say several elements missing for full-scale invasion despite recent troop movements

Russia does not currently have enough troops on the border with Ukraine to carry out a full-scale military invasion and occupation of the country, according to western experts and senior officials in Kyiv.

They believe a Russian attack to capture most or all of Ukraine in the near future is unlikely, despite an unprecedented buildup of about 125,000 Russian soldiers, and military exercises due to take place next month in Belarus, within striking distance of the capital.

In an article published on Monday, Ukraine’s former defence minister Andriy Zagorodnyuk said the Kremlin has not yet amassed the several hundred thousand troops necessary for a large-scale operation, on the border and in Russian territory behind the frontline.

Several elements for an invasion were missing, he argued. These include completing the formation of battalion tactical groups including tank and airborne, setting up and testing a system of wartime administration, and deploying and staffing mobile hospitals.

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