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Carville: Elizabeth Warren won't attack Bernie because she's worried about being primaried


Added 02-26-20 03:50:02pm EST - “"Elizabeth Warren hates Michael Bloomberg more than she wants to win."” - Hotair.com

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Posted By TheNewsCommenter: From Hotair.com: “Carville: Elizabeth Warren won't attack Bernie because she's worried about being primaried”. Below is an excerpt from the article.

This didn’t occur to me yesterday when I wrote about Warren’s odd fixation on slamming Bloomberg instead of the guy who’s running away with the race. But there may be something to it. Watch, then read on.

James Carville: "Elizabeth Warren hates Michael Bloomberg more than she wants to win." pic.twitter.com/INiabOaX3E

I think she’s focused on Bloomy for three reasons. He’s a target of opportunity first and foremost, an irresistible villain for a populist prone to railing about billionaires. You can see how much she relishes coming after him in their exchanges about NDAs. She’s also likely resigned to the fact that the race is now unwinnable for her, in which case it’d be foolish for her to futilely attack her good friend, the frontrunner. There may be a VP slot in it for her if she plays nice. Plus, there’s still a remote chance that Bernie and some centrist candidate will end up in a long war to the convention with neither one amassing a commanding plurality of delegates, at which point party brokers might turn to Warren herself as a compromise. In order to be viable for that, she needs some goodwill from Berniebros.

But now here’s Carville with a fourth theory. Given the weird Trump-ish cult dynamic in Sanders’s core support, what happens if she goes all-in on attacking him and ends up with Bernie fans holding a grudge? They’ll be looking for scapegoats if he loses the election this fall; anyone who criticized him during the primary will be a natural choice, especially the ambitious “friend” who couldn’t resist knifing him long after her own chances at the nomination had withered. Credible primary challenges are by no means a hypothetical in Warren’s home state of Massachusetts: Ed Markey, the incumbent, is busy at this very moment fending off one from Joe Kennedy. Meanwhile, AOC announced just a few days ago that she’s launching a PAC aimed at funding progressive primary challenges to House Democrats in certain districts.

Warren has spent the entire campaign gently distinguishing her brand of leftism from Bernie’s socialism, believing that it would make her acceptable to moderates in the national Democratic electorate in a way that Sanders isn’t. But that’s a double-edged sword, as it also invites Sanders-style progressives to declare her not quite left-wing enough for their tastes. Democrats have a near-lock on Senate seats in deep-blue Massachusetts too, which means the political risk of knocking off an incumbent in a primary is low. Warren may be looking a few years down the road, imagining that the party continues to drift leftward — especially if Bernie becomes president, proving that radical leftism is electable — and seeing herself ripe for a revenge operation by the AOC brigades. Don’t forget that one of the biggest young stars in the Dems’ freshman class in the House is Ayanna Pressley, a member of the “Squad” who also happens to be from Massachusetts. Right, right, Pressley is backing Warren for president, which makes the prospect of a Senate primary by her less likely. But it’d be easy enough for Pressley to steer left over the next few years and pronounce Warren no longer the best option for Senate in her home state.

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