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Birx: 100-200,000 dead is the best-case scenario, if we do almost perfect social distancing

Added 03-30-20 01:50:03pm EST - “"We're not sure that all of America is responding in a uniform way to protect one another."” - Hotair.com

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Posted By TheNewsCommenter: From Hotair.com: “Birx: 100-200,000 dead is the best-case scenario, if we do almost perfect social distancing”. Below is an excerpt from the article.

It’s tempting to believe that this is an exaggeration designed to scare people who’ve been skeptical about avoiding mass gatherings into getting with the program. It isn’t. If anything, given the balance of expert opinion, Birx is lowballing the likely death toll.

"If we do things together well … we could get in the range of 100,000-200,000 fatalities. We don't even want to see that." -Dr. Birx

"You kind of take my breath away with that because what I hear you saying is that's sort of the best case scenario." –@savannahguthrie pic.twitter.com/bridl3WFJQ

The CDC modeled four scenarios of the spread of the disease in a presentation last month. The worst case was 1.7 million deaths. The best was 200,000. Other infectious disease experts weren’t as optimistic:

Dr. Lawler recently presented his own “best guess” projections to American hospital and health system executives at a private webinar convened by the American Hospital Association. He estimated that some 96 million people in the United States would be infected. Five out of every hundred would need hospitalization, which would mean close to five million hospital admissions, nearly two million of those patients requiring intensive care and about half of those needing the support of ventilators.

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