Biden Has the Best Shot at Beating Trump
Added 04-26-19 12:24:02am EST - “WASHINGTON -- Joe Biden begins his presidential campaign with a lead over the crowded Democratic field and a simple message the nation can immediately grasp: I can stop the madness. I can beat Donald...” - Realclearpolitics.com
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WASHINGTON -- Joe Biden begins his presidential campaign with a lead over the crowded Democratic field and a simple message the nation can immediately grasp: I can stop the madness. I can beat Donald Trump.
That doesn't mean Biden will necessarily win the nomination, which depends on a host of factors, including how well the 76-year-old former vice president performs -- and whether a party eager to turn a generational page is willing to embrace him. Age is an issue for Biden, no question. But at least he can boast of being younger than his closest competitor in the polls, Sen. Bernie Sanders, who is 77.
As he makes his announcement, according to the Real Clear Politics average of national polls, Biden leads all comers with the support of 29.3% of Democratic voters. Sanders is second at 23% -- with everyone else far behind.
Four candidates who are bunched between 8.3% and 6.3% in the RCP poll average -- Sen. Kamala Harris, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Sen. Elizabeth Warren and former congressman Beto O'Rourke -- might be considered a second tier, I suppose. But at this point it's a pretty low tier. If the race were a skyscraper, that group would be on the mezzanine -- with Sen. Cory Booker struggling to join them. Sen. Amy Klobuchar, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julian Castro and the rest of the multitude remain stuck, for now, on the ground floor.
State polls tell much the same story. Warren did well earlier this month in a poll of Democrats in her home state of Massachusetts, as did Harris in a poll in her home state of California. But in those surveys, as in all others I can find, Biden and Sanders were well ahead of the pack.
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